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Red78
1016718.2
591233.7
1021822.6
Blue161
403961.7
467881.6
685414.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7716605010015020025078161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+71
Endgame+83
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +67
9Coral scored#24
33Coral points86
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
57Total teleop124
Reef
5L4#9
2L3#10
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
0Foul points0
78Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.0
32.232.3
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End1.3
blue by 47.8
81.61.9
72.474.3
Auto20.7
Teleop52.5
End8.3
Second
22.60.0
27.727.7
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.8
blue by 39.1
61.71.3
55.256.5
Auto15.9
Teleop43.2
End2.6
Third
18.20.0
17.917.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End0.9
red by 3.7
6854
#25
14.51.9
13.715.6
Auto2.6
Teleop11.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed73%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned