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Red190
494032.0
368394.4
270242.1
Blue118
491758.2
591233.7
702210.8
98%Model gave it2%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18410750150200250190118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+76Teleop
+78Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points14
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +62
24Coral scored#14
85Coral points51
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
24Processor points12
28Net points12
52Algae points24
137Total teleop75
Reef
10L4#4
10L3#6
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points6
190Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.40.7
91.692.3
Auto25.7
Teleop65.6
End3.1
red by 36.3
58.21.0
59.758.7
Auto14.0
Teleop33.7
End10.5
Second
42.10.7
37.638.3
Auto8.9
Teleop27.7
End5.6
red by 8.4
33.71.3
32.331.0
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End1.3
Third
4940
#18
32.00.9
30.131.0
Auto5.8
Teleop20.3
End5.9
red by 21.1
7022
#29
10.81.3
15.414.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned