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Red67
685414.5
876431.0
1061116.2
Blue78
1021822.6
616215.6
705819.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728040601001206778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+1
+7Endgame
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
15Coral points12
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +4
8Coral scored#9
28Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
38Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#4
5L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points18
67Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8764
#20
31.00.3
28.428.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End10.3
red by 8.4
22.61.4
27.726.3
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.8
Second
16.20.3
15.214.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End2.3
blue by 2.9
7058
#17
19.11.4
20.719.3
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End3.5
Third
6854
#25
14.50.3
15.615.2
Auto2.6
Teleop11.0
End0.9
blue by 1.2
6162
#19
15.61.4
16.615.2
Auto6.3
Teleop8.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned