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Red48
613520.4
952518.1
1016718.2
Blue117
77218.6
403961.7
502436.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50122010015048117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+51
Endgame+63
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +47
4Coral scored#11
14Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#4
6Processor points12
0Net points16
6Algae points28
20Total teleop67
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#6
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points6
48Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6135
#16
20.40.6
20.219.6
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End1.1
blue by 41.3
61.70.4
56.556.9
Auto15.9
Teleop43.2
End2.6
Second
18.20.8
17.917.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End0.9
blue by 18.1
36.20.4
33.233.6
Auto10.0
Teleop23.0
End3.1
Third
9525
#11
18.10.6
18.918.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End2.3
blue by 0.5
772
#28
18.60.6
14.715.3
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned