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Red86
747531.2
808928.4
1053520.6
Blue69
687512.8
1051410.9
136044.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82860501001502002508669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
65Total teleop47
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
2Foul points0
86Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7475
#26
31.20.9
29.430.3
Auto4.5
Teleop24.1
End2.6
blue by 13.6
1360
#12
44.80.4
44.043.6
Auto7.3
Teleop35.0
End2.5
Second
8089
#13
28.40.6
26.927.5
Auto5.6
Teleop14.9
End7.9
red by 15.6
6875
#27
12.80.5
15.715.2
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End2.1
Third
20.60.9
15.015.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.7
red by 9.7
10.90.5
12.812.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed