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Red81
461714.8
909858.8
567212.6
Blue131
260933.7
926313.2
467881.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781295010015081131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+50
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
3Coral scored#6
14Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +36
8Coral scored#15
28Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
42Total teleop78
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#9
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
81Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.80.1
54.154.2
Auto14.3
Teleop34.9
End9.7
blue by 22.7
81.61.8
74.376.1
Auto20.7
Teleop52.5
End8.3
Second
4617
#24
14.80.1
10.710.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.8
blue by 18.8
33.71.4
28.029.4
Auto4.9
Teleop20.4
End8.4
Third
5672
#15
12.60.1
14.814.9
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.4
blue by 0.5
9263
#21
13.21.4
8.49.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned