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Red116
613520.4
77218.6
403961.7
Blue108
876431.0
616215.6
270242.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10997050150200250300350400116108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+22Teleop
+10Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave9
5Coral scored#8
27Coral points42
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +43
17Coral scored#8
62Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
6Processor points0
16Net points12
22Algae points12
84Total teleop41
Reef
9L4#8
7L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points2
116Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.71.4
56.958.3
Auto15.9
Teleop43.2
End2.6
red by 19.6
42.11.2
38.339.6
Auto8.9
Teleop27.7
End5.6
Second
6135
#16
20.41.4
19.621.0
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End1.1
blue by 10.7
8764
#20
31.01.2
28.229.4
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End10.3
Third
772
#28
18.61.7
15.317.0
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End2.1
red by 3.0
6162
#19
15.61.5
15.216.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned