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Red34
702210.8
808928.4
494032.0
Blue89
403961.7
705819.1
461714.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions671080501502003489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+53
Endgame+43
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +42
3Coral scored#11
10Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
14Total teleop56
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points12
34Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4940
#18
32.03.5
21.017.5
Auto5.8
Teleop20.3
End5.9
blue by 29.7
61.71.0
50.349.4
Auto15.9
Teleop43.2
End2.6
Second
8089
#13
28.42.1
19.117.0
Auto5.6
Teleop14.9
End7.9
red by 9.3
7058
#17
19.11.6
23.221.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.4
End3.5
Third
7022
#29
10.83.5
22.118.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
blue by 4.0
4617
#24
14.81.6
18.016.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned