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Red99
685414.5
613520.4
491758.2
Blue146
467881.6
909858.8
1021822.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781115010015099146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+37
Endgame+49
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave9
5Coral scored#8
27Coral points42
27Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +13
12Coral scored#12
42Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
56Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#9
6L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
2Foul points0
99Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.21.2
48.749.9
Auto14.0
Teleop33.7
End10.5
blue by 23.4
81.64.9
45.650.5
Auto20.7
Teleop52.5
End8.3
Second
6135
#16
20.41.2
12.013.2
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End1.1
blue by 38.4
58.83.0
39.042.0
Auto14.3
Teleop34.9
End9.7
Third
6854
#25
14.52.0
18.020.1
Auto2.6
Teleop11.0
End0.9
blue by 8.2
22.64.9
17.122.1
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned