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Red83
591233.7
747531.2
1061116.2
Blue45
1053520.6
616215.6
687512.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67700501001508345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+34Teleop
+30Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
11Coral scored#6
39Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
57Total teleop30
Reef
7L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
8Foul points0
83Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.8
25.926.7
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End1.3
red by 13.1
20.63.2
17.114.0
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Second
7475
#26
31.20.8
19.720.4
Auto4.5
Teleop24.1
End2.6
red by 15.5
6162
#19
15.63.2
17.414.2
Auto6.3
Teleop8.8
End0.6
Third
16.20.8
13.614.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End2.3
red by 3.4
6875
#27
12.83.2
27.124.0
Auto2.0
Teleop8.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed