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Red97
260933.7
1016718.2
952518.1
Blue53
926313.2
1021822.6
808928.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667240506080901009753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+34Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points15
19Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +30
10Coral scored#7
36Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
6Processor points0
20Net points8
26Algae points8
62Total teleop32
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#5
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
97Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.72.0
29.731.7
Auto4.9
Teleop20.4
End8.4
red by 5.3
8089
#13
28.41.2
29.127.9
Auto5.6
Teleop14.9
End7.9
Second
18.22.3
15.017.3
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End0.9
blue by 4.5
22.61.3
24.222.9
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.8
Third
9525
#11
18.12.0
16.718.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End2.3
red by 5.0
9263
#21
13.21.2
11.310.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed