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Red104
77218.6
491758.2
1051410.9
Blue59
616215.6
461714.8
747531.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976905015020010459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+31Teleop
+39Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
15Coral scored#9
54Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
72Total teleop44
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#3
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
6Foul points0
104Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.20.6
56.757.3
Auto14.0
Teleop33.7
End10.5
red by 27.0
7475
#26
31.20.7
32.231.5
Auto4.5
Teleop24.1
End2.6
Second
772
#28
18.60.7
17.017.7
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End2.1
red by 3.0
6162
#19
15.60.7
16.715.9
Auto6.3
Teleop8.8
End0.6
Third
10.90.7
10.210.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.0
End1.3
blue by 3.9
4617
#24
14.80.7
13.813.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed