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Red218
368394.4
467881.6
926313.2
Blue156
270242.1
1016718.2
491758.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21211850100150250300218156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+78Teleop
+68Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
8Coral scored#8
42Coral points40
51Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +67
29Coral scored#17
103Coral points62
5Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
30Processor points12
20Net points12
50Algae points24
153Total teleop86
Reef
14L4#11
11L3#7
8L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
47Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points6
218Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.40.6
93.293.8
Auto25.7
Teleop65.6
End3.1
red by 36.3
58.20.6
58.659.2
Auto14.0
Teleop33.7
End10.5
Second
81.60.6
80.380.9
Auto20.7
Teleop52.5
End8.3
red by 39.5
42.10.6
42.543.1
Auto8.9
Teleop27.7
End5.6
Third
9263
#21
13.20.6
11.912.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6
blue by 5.0
18.20.6
18.519.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End0.9