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Red117
909858.8
461714.8
403961.7
Blue90
502436.2
77218.6
591233.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143885010020011790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+15Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +18
18Coral scored#10
64Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
78Total teleop60
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#3
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
117Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.3
60.360.0
Auto15.9
Teleop43.2
End2.6
red by 25.5
36.20.0
36.236.2
Auto10.0
Teleop23.0
End3.1
Second
58.80.3
57.457.1
Auto14.3
Teleop34.9
End9.7
red by 25.1
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto7.3
Teleop25.1
End1.3
Third
4617
#24
14.80.3
13.413.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.8
blue by 3.8
772
#28
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End2.1