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Red174
260933.7
494032.0
136044.8
Blue103
616215.6
747531.2
1021822.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13780050100150200174103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+47Teleop
+65Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +36
25Coral scored#14
91Coral points49
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
18Processor points12
12Net points24
30Algae points36
121Total teleop85
Reef
15L4#9
6L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#24
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +71
6Foul points0
174Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#12
44.80.9
43.544.4
Auto7.3
Teleop35.0
End2.5
red by 13.6
7475
#26
31.20.3
30.831.2
Auto4.5
Teleop24.1
End2.6
Second
33.70.9
32.333.3
Auto4.9
Teleop20.4
End8.4
red by 11.0
22.60.3
22.322.6
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.8
Third
4940
#18
32.00.9
30.631.6
Auto5.8
Teleop20.3
End5.9
red by 16.3
6162
#19
15.60.3
15.315.6
Auto6.3
Teleop8.8
End0.6