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Red144
909858.8
403961.7
461714.8
Blue163
270242.1
1016718.2
491758.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138122050100200250144163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+13
Endgame+33
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points31
37Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +10
20Coral scored#19
73Coral points69
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
87Total teleop97
Reef
10L4#11
8L3#7
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +19
14Foul points0
144Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.0
60.360.3
Auto15.9
Teleop43.2
End2.6
red by 3.5
58.21.0
57.558.6
Auto14.0
Teleop33.7
End10.5
Second
58.80.0
57.457.4
Auto14.3
Teleop34.9
End9.7
red by 16.7
42.11.0
41.442.5
Auto8.9
Teleop27.7
End5.6
Third
4617
#24
14.80.0
13.513.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.8
blue by 3.3
18.21.0
17.518.5
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End0.9