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Red230
368394.4
467881.6
926313.2
Blue139
260933.7
494032.0
136044.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21711050150200250300230139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+52Auto
+101Teleop
+91Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +52
6Leave9
12Coral scored#1
62Coral points7
68Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +49
29Coral scored#19
106Coral points67
5Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
30Processor points12
20Net points28
50Algae points40
156Total teleop107
Reef
16L4#8
11L3#6
9L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
51Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +91
0Foul points0
230Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.40.8
92.493.2
Auto25.7
Teleop65.6
End3.1
red by 49.6
1360
#12
44.80.5
43.043.5
Auto7.3
Teleop35.0
End2.5
Second
81.60.8
79.580.3
Auto20.7
Teleop52.5
End8.3
red by 47.9
33.70.5
31.932.3
Auto4.9
Teleop20.4
End8.4
Third
9263
#21
13.20.8
11.111.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6
blue by 18.8
4940
#18
32.00.5
30.230.6
Auto5.8
Teleop20.3
End5.9