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Red219
205694.7
368380.4
762316.7
Blue146
124151.0
403950.3
285224.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20912050100150250300219146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+55Teleop
+55Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave6
12Coral scored#7
59Coral points34
65Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +30
24Coral scored#19
88Coral points68
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#7
24Processor points6
20Net points28
44Algae points34
132Total teleop102
Reef
12L4#11
10L3#7
10L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +73
18Foul points0
219Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.70.1
94.694.7
Auto24.5
Teleop68.5
End1.7
red by 43.7
51.00.4
50.751.0
Auto14.2
Teleop36.4
End0.4
Second
80.40.1
80.380.4
Auto25.6
Teleop52.8
End2.0
red by 30.0
50.30.4
50.050.3
Auto15.9
Teleop30.6
End3.9
Third
7623
#17
16.70.1
16.616.7
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End0.9
blue by 7.6
2852
#24
24.30.4
24.024.3
Auto5.0
Teleop17.9
End1.4