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Red217
205694.7
368380.4
762316.7
Blue132
124151.0
403950.3
285224.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20812050100150250300217132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+77Teleop
+79Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
13Coral scored#9
65Coral points44
65Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +56
29Coral scored#15
104Coral points54
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
18Processor points12
20Net points20
38Algae points32
142Total teleop86
Reef
16L4#10
14L3#7
6L2#3
6L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +85
6Foul points0
217Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.70.4
94.294.6
Auto24.5
Teleop68.5
End1.7
red by 43.7
51.00.1
50.550.7
Auto14.2
Teleop36.4
End0.4
Second
80.40.4
79.980.3
Auto25.6
Teleop52.8
End2.0
red by 30.0
50.30.1
49.950.0
Auto15.9
Teleop30.6
End3.9
Third
7623
#17
16.70.4
16.216.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End0.9
blue by 7.6
2852
#24
24.30.1
23.824.0
Auto5.0
Teleop17.9
End1.4