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Red122
111465.4
775722.0
220063.1
Blue161
124151.0
403950.3
285224.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16712550100150200250122161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+27
Fouls+39
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points28
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +36
11Coral scored#19
40Coral points68
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
18Processor points18
16Net points24
34Algae points42
74Total teleop110
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#8
4L2#7
1L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points12
122Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.40.7
66.165.4
Auto19.2
Teleop44.2
End2.0
red by 14.4
51.00.5
50.050.5
Auto14.2
Teleop36.4
End0.4
Second
63.10.7
63.963.1
Auto15.3
Teleop45.2
End2.6
red by 12.8
50.30.5
49.449.9
Auto15.9
Teleop30.6
End3.9
Third
7757
#26
22.00.7
22.822.0
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End2.0
blue by 2.3
2852
#24
24.30.5
23.323.8
Auto5.0
Teleop17.9
End1.4