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Red130
124151.0
403950.3
285224.3
Blue66
568927.7
270225.0
502429.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142955020013066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+62Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points16
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +51
13Coral scored#8
46Coral points29
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
24Processor points6
24Net points8
48Algae points14
94Total teleop43
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
130Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.2
49.950.0
Auto14.2
Teleop36.4
End0.4
red by 21.3
5024
#14
29.70.4
30.129.7
Auto10.3
Teleop17.4
End2.0
Second
50.30.2
49.249.4
Auto15.9
Teleop30.6
End3.9
red by 22.6
5689
#12
27.70.4
28.127.7
Auto5.2
Teleop19.8
End2.7
Third
2852
#24
24.30.2
23.223.3
Auto5.0
Teleop17.9
End1.4
blue by 0.7
2702
#27
25.00.4
25.425.0
Auto4.7
Teleop19.8
End0.5