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Red52
609814.9
568927.7
747628.0
Blue174
587020.0
368380.4
220063.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59131010015020052174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+124
Endgame+128
Fouls+122
AutonomousBlue +38
6Leave9
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points35
6Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +86
5Coral scored#21
18Coral points76
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#5
6Processor points18
4Net points20
10Algae points38
28Total teleop114
Reef
2L4#11
2L3#9
0L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +4
6Cage & park10
6Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +122
12Foul points6
52Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.02.5
20.017.5
Auto5.1
Teleop20.9
End2.0
blue by 52.4
80.45.9
42.648.5
Auto25.6
Teleop52.8
End2.0
Second
5689
#12
27.72.5
21.819.4
Auto5.2
Teleop19.8
End2.7
blue by 35.4
63.15.9
47.052.9
Auto15.3
Teleop45.2
End2.6
Third
6098
#15
14.92.5
15.312.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End1.6
blue by 5.1
5870
#22
20.05.9
19.225.1
Auto3.9
Teleop16.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed