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Red23
697829.8
540811.4
401510.6
Blue60
164615.9
270629.3
502429.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577420401001201402360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+39
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +18
2Coral scored#5
6Coral points18
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
10Total teleop28
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
23Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6978
#11
29.83.3
26.823.5
Auto3.3
Teleop24.7
End1.7
red by 0.1
5024
#14
29.70.6
21.721.1
Auto10.3
Teleop17.4
End2.0
Second
5408
#25
11.43.3
12.08.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End0.7
blue by 17.9
29.30.6
39.038.4
Auto6.9
Teleop21.5
End1.0
Third
4015
#20
10.63.3
13.710.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.2
blue by 5.3
1646
#18
15.90.4
4.84.4
Auto3.4
Teleop11.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed