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Red162
270225.0
1057914.3
205694.7
Blue161
111465.4
571922.3
124151.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9212020406080100140160180162161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points20
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +6
24Coral scored#19
85Coral points69
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#7
18Processor points24
12Net points28
30Algae points52
115Total teleop121
Reef
13L4#9
9L3#6
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
6Foul points10
162Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.76.4
52.458.8
Auto24.5
Teleop68.5
End1.7
red by 29.3
65.43.6
42.846.4
Auto19.2
Teleop44.2
End2.0
Second
2702
#27
25.06.4
23.630.0
Auto4.7
Teleop19.8
End0.5
blue by 26.0
51.02.2
42.144.3
Auto14.2
Teleop36.4
End0.4
Third
14.36.4
11.317.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.3
End0.3
blue by 8.0
5719
#16
22.33.6
22.325.9
Auto6.3
Teleop14.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed