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Red51
762316.7
747628.0
912722.8
Blue100
808919.1
587020.0
403950.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56830204010012014051100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+23
Endgame+19
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points1
3Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +16
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
42Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points30
51Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.2
20.220.0
Auto5.1
Teleop20.9
End2.0
blue by 22.4
50.30.3
35.535.2
Auto15.9
Teleop30.6
End3.9
Second
9127
#21
22.80.2
11.511.3
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End1.0
red by 2.8
5870
#22
20.00.3
19.519.2
Auto3.9
Teleop16.0
End0.1
Third
7623
#17
16.70.2
20.820.7
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End0.9
blue by 2.4
8089
#10
19.10.3
17.817.5
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed