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Red149
270629.3
136042.1
368380.4
Blue53
260925.0
540811.4
285224.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105692040608012014016014953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+98Teleop
+96Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +87
26Coral scored#7
92Coral points25
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
18Processor points6
12Net points4
30Algae points10
122Total teleop35
Reef
13L4#2
7L3#3
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +96
0Foul points0
149Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.46.3
36.342.6
Auto25.6
Teleop52.8
End2.0
red by 55.4
2609
#19
25.01.5
25.824.3
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End7.4
Second
1360
#13
42.16.3
23.329.6
Auto4.1
Teleop37.4
End0.5
red by 17.8
2852
#24
24.31.5
27.525.9
Auto5.0
Teleop17.9
End1.4
Third
29.36.3
32.739.0
Auto6.9
Teleop21.5
End1.0
red by 17.9
5408
#25
11.41.5
13.512.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed