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Qual 62025 ONT District Niagara College Event
Red56
502429.7
1055425.1
401510.6
Blue69
568927.7
609814.9
697829.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718202040601001201405669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+11
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +19
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points41
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
36Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points2
56Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5024
#14
29.72.2
23.9→21.7
Auto10.3
Teleop17.4
End2.0
blue by 0.1
6978
#11
29.82.0
28.7→26.8
Auto3.3
Teleop24.7
End1.7
Second
10554
#6
25.12.2
22.9→20.7
Auto3.9
Teleop20.7
End0.5
blue by 2.6
5689
#12
27.72.0
23.8→21.8
Auto5.2
Teleop19.8
End2.7
Third
4015
#20
10.62.2
15.9→13.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.2
blue by 4.3
6098
#15
14.92.0
17.3→15.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed