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Red43
285224.3
808919.1
270225.0
Blue47
912722.8
571922.3
1055425.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85650501001504347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +15
5Coral scored#7
18Coral points25
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
0Processor points0
4Net points12
4Algae points12
22Total teleop37
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#11
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
43Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#27
25.03.7
30.026.3
Auto4.7
Teleop19.8
End0.5
blue by 0.1
25.11.5
20.719.2
Auto3.9
Teleop20.7
End0.5
Second
2852
#24
24.33.7
25.922.2
Auto5.0
Teleop17.9
End1.4
red by 1.5
9127
#21
22.81.5
11.39.8
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End1.0
Third
8089
#10
19.13.7
17.513.8
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End4.2
blue by 3.3
5719
#16
22.31.5
25.924.4
Auto6.3
Teleop14.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed