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Red90
403950.3
124151.0
270629.3
Blue118
136042.1
220063.1
540811.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130945015090118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +23
9Coral scored#17
34Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
56Total teleop79
Reef
7L4#9
3L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points12
90Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.01.9
44.342.4
Auto14.2
Teleop36.4
End0.4
blue by 12.1
63.11.6
52.954.5
Auto15.3
Teleop45.2
End2.6
Second
50.33.1
35.232.1
Auto15.9
Teleop30.6
End3.9
red by 8.3
1360
#13
42.11.6
29.631.2
Auto4.1
Teleop37.4
End0.5
Third
29.33.1
38.435.3
Auto6.9
Teleop21.5
End1.0
red by 17.9
5408
#25
11.41.6
8.710.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed