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Red99
136042.1
124151.0
609814.9
Blue71
747628.0
775722.0
285224.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions996302040801201401609971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+32Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +21
16Coral scored#11
56Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
74Total teleop53
Reef
9L4#5
4L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
99Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.8
45.346.1
Auto14.2
Teleop36.4
End0.4
red by 23.0
28.00.8
23.924.8
Auto5.1
Teleop20.9
End2.0
Second
1360
#13
42.11.3
28.329.5
Auto4.1
Teleop37.4
End0.5
red by 17.8
2852
#24
24.30.8
20.421.2
Auto5.0
Teleop17.9
End1.4
Third
6098
#15
14.91.3
13.915.2
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End1.6
blue by 7.1
7757
#26
22.00.8
19.220.0
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed