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Red93
762316.7
111465.4
808919.1
Blue166
502429.7
403950.3
368380.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961305015020093166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+67
Endgame+67
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
6Coral scored#8
30Coral points41
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +53
9Coral scored#20
31Coral points72
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
49Total teleop102
Reef
6L4#10
3L3#6
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points6
93Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.40.0
53.253.2
Auto19.2
Teleop44.2
End2.0
blue by 15.0
80.44.7
62.166.8
Auto25.6
Teleop52.8
End2.0
Second
8089
#10
19.10.0
18.818.8
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End4.2
blue by 31.3
50.34.7
38.142.8
Auto15.9
Teleop30.6
End3.9
Third
7623
#17
16.70.0
21.221.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End0.9
blue by 13.0
5024
#14
29.74.7
17.322.0
Auto10.3
Teleop17.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned