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Red55
260925.0
568927.7
540811.4
Blue88
1057914.3
1055425.1
697829.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60742040801001201405588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+41
Endgame+25
Fouls+33
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +41
6Coral scored#15
22Coral points53
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
30Total teleop71
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#20
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points8
55Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5689
#12
27.71.3
21.119.8
Auto5.2
Teleop19.8
End2.7
blue by 2.0
6978
#11
29.80.9
25.926.7
Auto3.3
Teleop24.7
End1.7
Second
2609
#19
25.01.3
22.321.0
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End7.4
blue by 0.1
25.10.9
23.424.3
Auto3.9
Teleop20.7
End0.5
Third
5408
#25
11.41.3
11.510.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End0.7
blue by 2.9
14.30.9
12.313.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed