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Red71
808919.1
775722.0
568927.7
Blue194
540811.4
368380.4
111465.4
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52155010020025071194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+45
Teleop+143
Endgame+129
Fouls+123
AutonomousBlue +45
3Leave3
2Coral scored#11
10Coral points55
13Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +98
8Coral scored#21
28Coral points76
0Processor algae#5
2Net algae#7
0Processor points30
8Net points28
8Algae points58
36Total teleop134
Reef
4L4#12
2L3#10
3L2#7
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#44
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +123
6Foul points0
71Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5689
#12
27.70.5
19.819.3
Auto5.2
Teleop19.8
End2.7
blue by 52.7
80.45.6
66.872.4
Auto25.6
Teleop52.8
End2.0
Second
7757
#26
22.00.5
16.816.3
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End2.0
blue by 43.3
65.45.6
53.258.7
Auto19.2
Teleop44.2
End2.0
Third
8089
#10
19.10.5
18.818.3
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End4.2
red by 7.6
5408
#25
11.45.6
10.215.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed