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Red99
164615.9
260925.0
747628.0
Blue98
136042.1
285224.3
912722.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626301001502002509998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+9
+3Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
14Coral scored#18
51Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
71Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#5
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points2
99Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.04.2
27.231.4
Auto5.1
Teleop20.9
End2.0
blue by 14.1
1360
#13
42.14.0
31.935.9
Auto4.1
Teleop37.4
End0.5
Second
2609
#19
25.04.2
21.025.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End7.4
red by 0.7
2852
#24
24.34.0
17.421.3
Auto5.0
Teleop17.9
End1.4
Third
1646
#18
15.92.5
13.115.6
Auto3.4
Teleop11.4
End1.1
blue by 6.9
9127
#21
22.84.0
11.015.0
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed