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Red95
124151.0
401510.6
136042.1
Blue18
808919.1
502429.7
1057914.3
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98790501502002509518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+55Teleop
+57Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +52
12Coral scored#1
42Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
56Total teleop4
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#0
2L2#0
3L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#1
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
24Foul points4
95Total score18

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.01.0
43.142.1
Auto14.2
Teleop36.4
End0.4
red by 21.3
5024
#14
29.76.5
30.423.9
Auto10.3
Teleop17.4
End2.0
Second
1360
#13
42.11.6
24.923.3
Auto4.1
Teleop37.4
End0.5
red by 23.0
8089
#10
19.16.5
24.417.8
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End4.2
Third
4015
#20
10.61.6
17.515.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.2
blue by 3.7
14.32.7
14.011.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed