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Red80
368380.4
260925.0
403950.3
Blue136
285224.3
270629.3
205694.7
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12311440608010014016018020080136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+58
Endgame+58
Fouls+56
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points23
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +79
7Coral scored#25
24Coral points91
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
30Total teleop109
Reef
6L4#11
5L3#8
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
16Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
2Foul points0
80Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.43.3
39.536.3
Auto25.6
Teleop52.8
End2.0
blue by 14.3
94.73.9
48.552.4
Auto24.5
Teleop68.5
End1.7
Second
50.33.3
38.735.5
Auto15.9
Teleop30.6
End3.9
red by 21.0
29.33.9
28.832.7
Auto6.9
Teleop21.5
End1.0
Third
2609
#19
25.03.3
29.125.8
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End7.4
red by 0.7
2852
#24
24.33.9
23.527.5
Auto5.0
Teleop17.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed