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Red143
111465.4
609814.9
270629.3
Blue117
136042.1
568927.7
762316.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11773050100150200143117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave6
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
16Coral scored#21
56Coral points74
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
24Processor points12
16Net points12
40Algae points24
96Total teleop98
Reef
11L4#9
6L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
6Foul points6
143Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.42.1
58.760.8
Auto19.2
Teleop44.2
End2.0
red by 23.3
1360
#13
42.11.9
35.937.8
Auto4.1
Teleop37.4
End0.5
Second
29.32.1
25.827.8
Auto6.9
Teleop21.5
End1.0
red by 1.6
5689
#12
27.71.9
19.321.2
Auto5.2
Teleop19.8
End2.7
Third
6098
#15
14.92.1
14.416.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End1.6
blue by 1.8
7623
#17
16.71.9
14.015.9
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed