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Red133
587020.0
368380.4
912722.8
Blue124
124151.0
697829.8
260925.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171076080140160180200133124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+11Teleop
Endgame+3
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points17
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +3
16Coral scored#14
56Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
6Processor points12
20Net points24
26Algae points36
82Total teleop85
Reef
7L4#5
8L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
12Foul points0
133Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.40.9
72.473.3
Auto25.6
Teleop52.8
End2.0
red by 29.4
51.01.3
47.448.7
Auto14.2
Teleop36.4
End0.4
Second
9127
#21
22.80.9
15.015.9
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End1.0
blue by 7.0
6978
#11
29.82.2
26.728.9
Auto3.3
Teleop24.7
End1.7
Third
5870
#22
20.00.9
19.220.2
Auto3.9
Teleop16.0
End0.1
blue by 5.0
2609
#19
25.02.0
25.227.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned