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Red121
270225.0
697829.8
220063.1
Blue138
124151.0
285224.3
1055425.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117107050150200250300121138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +17
20Coral scored#19
72Coral points67
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
12Processor points18
12Net points28
24Algae points46
96Total teleop113
Reef
11L4#7
4L3#8
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
121Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.11.2
59.260.4
Auto15.3
Teleop45.2
End2.6
red by 12.1
51.02.5
48.751.3
Auto14.2
Teleop36.4
End0.4
Second
6978
#11
29.81.2
28.930.1
Auto3.3
Teleop24.7
End1.7
red by 4.6
25.13.9
27.531.4
Auto3.9
Teleop20.7
End0.5
Third
2702
#27
25.01.2
18.319.5
Auto4.7
Teleop19.8
End0.5
red by 0.7
2852
#24
24.33.9
21.325.3
Auto5.0
Teleop17.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed