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Red91
403950.3
1057914.3
571922.3
Blue48
164615.9
401510.6
587020.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96370501509148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+39Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave6
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +15
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points32
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
55Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#2
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#11
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
91Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.31.0
48.249.2
Auto15.9
Teleop30.6
End3.9
red by 30.3
5870
#22
20.00.6
20.220.8
Auto3.9
Teleop16.0
End0.1
Second
5719
#16
22.31.0
23.124.1
Auto6.3
Teleop14.7
End1.4
red by 6.5
1646
#18
15.90.4
15.616.0
Auto3.4
Teleop11.4
End1.1
Third
14.31.0
10.211.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.3
End0.3
red by 3.7
4015
#20
10.60.6
6.26.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed