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Red130
697829.8
220063.1
775722.0
Blue73
540811.4
747628.0
270629.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126815010015013073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+75Teleop
+75Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +64
15Coral scored#7
53Coral points25
3Processor algae#1
8Net algae#2
18Processor points6
32Net points8
50Algae points14
103Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#4
7L3#2
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points18
130Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.11.8
60.462.2
Auto15.3
Teleop45.2
End2.6
red by 33.8
29.32.3
27.825.6
Auto6.9
Teleop21.5
End1.0
Second
6978
#11
29.81.8
30.131.9
Auto3.3
Teleop24.7
End1.7
red by 1.8
28.02.3
31.128.8
Auto5.1
Teleop20.9
End2.0
Third
7757
#26
22.01.8
17.519.3
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End2.0
red by 10.6
5408
#25
11.42.3
17.014.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed