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Red153
587020.0
136042.1
111465.4
Blue155
205694.7
571922.3
401510.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130130110120140150153155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points28
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +5
21Coral scored#20
77Coral points72
4Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
24Processor points24
20Net points20
44Algae points44
121Total teleop116
Reef
10L4#9
6L3#8
8L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
153Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.42.2
60.863.0
Auto19.2
Teleop44.2
End2.0
blue by 29.3
94.72.7
84.587.2
Auto24.5
Teleop68.5
End1.7
Second
1360
#13
42.12.2
37.840.0
Auto4.1
Teleop37.4
End0.5
red by 19.7
5719
#16
22.32.7
24.126.8
Auto6.3
Teleop14.7
End1.4
Third
5870
#22
20.02.2
20.822.9
Auto3.9
Teleop16.0
End0.1
red by 9.4
4015
#20
10.62.7
6.89.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned58%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed