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Red102
1057914.3
270225.0
164615.9
Blue106
285224.3
568927.7
403950.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions471160100150200102106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+6
Endgame+16
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points48
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
18Processor points12
12Net points16
30Algae points28
77Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#6
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
12Foul points0
102Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#27
25.03.7
19.523.2
Auto4.7
Teleop19.8
End0.5
blue by 25.3
50.30.4
49.249.6
Auto15.9
Teleop30.6
End3.9
Second
1646
#18
15.92.5
16.018.5
Auto3.4
Teleop11.4
End1.1
blue by 11.8
5689
#12
27.70.4
21.221.6
Auto5.2
Teleop19.8
End2.7
Third
14.33.7
11.214.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.3
End0.3
blue by 10.0
2852
#24
24.30.4
25.325.7
Auto5.0
Teleop17.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsEarned