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Red82
124151.0
540811.4
808919.1
Blue96
1055425.1
747628.0
609814.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94870501502002503003508296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +14
13Coral scored#13
46Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
66Total teleop80
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
82Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.9
51.350.4
Auto14.2
Teleop36.4
End0.4
red by 23.0
28.00.6
28.829.5
Auto5.1
Teleop20.9
End2.0
Second
8089
#10
19.11.3
18.016.7
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End4.2
blue by 6.1
25.10.7
31.432.1
Auto3.9
Teleop20.7
End0.5
Third
5408
#25
11.41.2
14.713.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End0.7
blue by 3.5
6098
#15
14.90.6
17.418.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed