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Red143
912722.8
403950.3
697829.8
Blue88
775722.0
1057914.3
136042.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1078220406010012014016018014388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+33Teleop
+43Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +19
18Coral scored#15
66Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
94Total teleop75
Reef
9L4#6
5L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
12Foul points0
143Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.31.8
52.354.1
Auto15.9
Teleop30.6
End3.9
red by 8.3
1360
#13
42.10.0
41.341.3
Auto4.1
Teleop37.4
End0.5
Second
6978
#11
29.81.6
28.530.2
Auto3.3
Teleop24.7
End1.7
red by 7.7
7757
#26
22.00.0
22.222.2
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End2.0
Third
9127
#21
22.81.8
16.017.8
Auto3.6
Teleop18.1
End1.0
red by 8.5
14.30.0
14.314.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed