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Red145
502429.7
270225.0
124151.0
Blue155
368380.4
164615.9
568927.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11113280100120140160180200145155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+4Teleop
+2Endgame
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points37
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +11
16Coral scored#24
59Coral points86
4Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
24Processor points6
32Net points12
56Algae points18
115Total teleop104
Reef
9L4#11
6L3#10
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points12
145Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.01.8
52.554.4
Auto14.2
Teleop36.4
End0.4
blue by 29.4
80.40.7
77.077.7
Auto25.6
Teleop52.8
End2.0
Second
5024
#14
29.72.3
22.725.0
Auto10.3
Teleop17.4
End2.0
red by 2.0
5689
#12
27.70.7
22.323.0
Auto5.2
Teleop19.8
End2.7
Third
2702
#27
25.02.3
23.926.1
Auto4.7
Teleop19.8
End0.5
red by 9.2
1646
#18
15.90.6
14.314.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed47%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned