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Red84
270629.3
260925.0
1055425.1
Blue142
401510.6
747628.0
111465.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8610820406010012014016084142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+70
Endgame+62
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +53
12Coral scored#22
43Coral points78
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
57Total teleop110
Reef
7L4#11
3L3#6
2L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#34
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
4Foul points0
84Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.31.2
25.524.3
Auto6.9
Teleop21.5
End1.0
blue by 36.1
65.42.4
57.359.7
Auto19.2
Teleop44.2
End2.0
Second
25.11.2
26.525.3
Auto3.9
Teleop20.7
End0.5
blue by 2.9
28.02.4
29.531.9
Auto5.1
Teleop20.9
End2.0
Third
2609
#19
25.01.2
26.925.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.8
End7.4
red by 14.4
4015
#20
10.62.4
7.610.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed