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Red85
571922.3
697829.8
136042.1
Blue95
220063.1
808919.1
609814.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11411580901001101201301401508595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+6Teleop
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +20
14Coral scored#12
50Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
76Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
85Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#13
42.11.4
42.741.3
Auto4.1
Teleop37.4
End0.5
blue by 21.1
63.10.6
62.161.5
Auto15.3
Teleop45.2
End2.6
Second
6978
#11
29.81.4
30.028.5
Auto3.3
Teleop24.7
End1.7
red by 10.7
8089
#10
19.10.6
19.518.9
Auto5.9
Teleop8.9
End4.2
Third
5719
#16
22.31.4
27.025.6
Auto6.3
Teleop14.7
End1.4
red by 7.4
6098
#15
14.90.6
18.017.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsEarned