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Red69
587020.0
285224.3
1057914.3
Blue131
762316.7
540811.4
205694.7
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54139010015020069131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+70
Endgame+72
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave6
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points31
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +49
7Coral scored#18
25Coral points66
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
35Total teleop84
Reef
3L4#9
2L3#5
1L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
16Foul points6
69Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2852
#24
24.30.5
23.422.9
Auto5.0
Teleop17.9
End1.4
blue by 70.4
94.70.7
87.588.2
Auto24.5
Teleop68.5
End1.7
Second
5870
#22
20.00.5
20.720.2
Auto3.9
Teleop16.0
End0.1
red by 3.3
7623
#17
16.70.7
14.915.6
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End0.9
Third
14.30.5
14.814.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.3
End0.3
red by 2.9
5408
#25
11.40.7
13.514.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
11%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed