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Red50
111465.4
164615.9
1055425.1
Blue188
368380.4
124151.0
775722.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211575010020050188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+122
Endgame+126
Fouls+138
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave9
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points35
26Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +104
6Coral scored#24
20Coral points86
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#6
0Processor points18
4Net points24
4Algae points42
24Total teleop128
Reef
5L4#12
2L3#8
2L2#7
2L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +138
0Foul points12
50Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.45.7
63.057.3
Auto19.2
Teleop44.2
End2.0
blue by 15.0
80.42.9
74.277.0
Auto25.6
Teleop52.8
End2.0
Second
25.15.7
32.126.5
Auto3.9
Teleop20.7
End0.5
blue by 25.9
51.02.1
50.452.5
Auto14.2
Teleop36.4
End0.4
Third
1646
#18
15.94.2
18.514.3
Auto3.4
Teleop11.4
End1.1
blue by 6.2
7757
#26
22.02.9
19.322.2
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed